Jadran vs NK Dugo Selo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
VRB
2 - 1
JAP
53%
25%
23%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
JAP
2 - 1
NKC
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
NKB
1 - 2
JAP
27%
26%
47%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
ROV
1 - 2
JAP
60%
23%
17%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
JAP
1 - 0
OPA
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
NK Dugo Selo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
DUG
4 - 0
OPA
33%
26%
41%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
STU
3 - 0
DUG
30%
24%
46%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
DUG
0 - 0
VNV
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
DUG
1 - 1
NKR
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
MOS
3 - 1
DUG
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -2 |