Jacuipense vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
SER
2 - 1
JAC
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ASA
1 - 1
JAC
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
JAC
1 - 1
CEN
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
JAC
0 - 1
BAH
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
JEQ
0 - 1
JAC
34%
25%
42%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
SER
2 - 1
JAC
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CEN
0 - 1
SER
41%
27%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SER
0 - 0
ASA
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
SER
0 - 0
ITA
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 1
SER
43%
28%
29%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |