Jacuipense vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
50.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 1
JAC
75%
17%
8%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
JAC
0 - 1
PAR
14%
19%
67%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
JAC
1 - 3
SDJ
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SDJ
1 - 1
JAC
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BAH
0 - 0
JAC
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
NAU
2 - 0
BRA
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SAL
4 - 1
NAU
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 1
NAU
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
NAU
0 - 2
SPO
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
SAL
3 - 1
NAU
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |