Jacuipense vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
63.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
JAC
1 - 0
SDJ
43%
26%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 1
JAC
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
JAC
3 - 1
BAR
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BAH
3 - 2
JAC
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
JAC
1 - 1
ITA
24%
23%
53%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
4 - 0
BAH
21%
24%
55%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
6 - 0
BAH
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 2
BAH
8%
19%
73%
|
76 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
BAH
0 - 3
FOR
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ADA
0 - 1
BAH
6%
16%
78%
|
77 | 31 | 46 | 0 |