Jacuipense vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
71.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
COL
0 - 0
JAC
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
JAC
1 - 2
SDJ
38%
24%
37%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 1
JAC
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2014 |
JAC
1 - 0
VIT
49%
24%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
JAC
2 - 1
SER
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
GLO
1 - 2
BAH
13%
20%
67%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
CRB
3 - 3
BAH
21%
25%
53%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
BAH
3 - 1
JEC
76%
17%
7%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
BAH
1 - 0
CAM
69%
21%
10%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 0
BAH
12%
22%
65%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |