Jacuipense vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
66.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SDJ
1 - 0
JAC
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
GAL
0 - 0
JAC
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
JAC
3 - 1
JUA
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
CAT
0 - 0
JAC
41%
25%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
BAH
0 - 0
JAC
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 2
GAL
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 0
CSA
78%
16%
6%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
BAH
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 2
BAH
14%
23%
63%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 0
VIT
78%
15%
6%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |