Jacobinense vs Grapiuna Itabuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
29.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacobinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 3
JEC
47%
22%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
JEC
0 - 1
JEQ
22%
20%
59%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
JEC
2 - 0
FLU
17%
19%
64%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +4 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
ABP
1 - 2
JEC
27%
21%
52%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Grapiuna Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 1
FLU
22%
20%
58%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
ABP
1 - 1
GRA
22%
20%
58%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 0
ITA
6%
12%
82%
|
27 | 62 | 35 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
FLA
0 - 0
GRA
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
GRA
0 - 0
BOT
34%
22%
45%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |