Série D Brazil Final Stages 1/16
Global 3-5
Jacobina vs SD Juazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacobina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
SER
2 - 0
JEC
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
JEC
3 - 0
MUR
50%
24%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
JEC
1 - 0
ARN
28%
26%
47%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2017 |
ARN
3 - 1
JEC
71%
18%
12%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
MUR
3 - 2
JEC
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
SDJ
0 - 1
COR
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 2
SDJ
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
SDJ
3 - 0
CEN
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 1
SDJ
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
SDJ
0 - 0
SOU
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |