Jacobina vs Jacuipense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacobina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
ALA
1 - 2
JEC
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
JEC
1 - 0
SDJ
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SDJ
2 - 0
JEC
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
JEC
1 - 0
FLA
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SDJ
0 - 2
JEC
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
JAC
1 - 1
AEC
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
FEI
0 - 1
JAC
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
JAC
2 - 1
FEI
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
JAC
0 - 2
SDJ
30%
23%
47%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
COL
2 - 2
JAC
37%
26%
36%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |