Jacetano vs Peña Fragatina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
73.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BUJ
2 - 0
CFJ
46%
21%
34%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
LAF
2 - 2
CFJ
43%
21%
36%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CFJ
2 - 1
BIE
22%
22%
56%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
7 - 0
CFJ
84%
11%
4%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ZAI
1 - 0
CFJ
41%
22%
38%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Fragatina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PFR
2 - 0
BIE
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
PFR
52%
22%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PFR
2 - 1
GRA
83%
12%
6%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
PFR
28%
22%
50%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
VAL
0 - 3
PFR
15%
19%
66%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | +1 |