Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 5-2
Jablonec vs Stromsgodset IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jablonec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 1
JAB
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
JAB
0 - 0
ZBR
78%
15%
7%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2013 |
VKP
2 - 3
JAB
50%
21%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
BAN
0 - 1
JAB
19%
21%
60%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
JAB
2 - 1
SIG
54%
24%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stromsgodset IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
STR
6 - 1
HON
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
DVS
0 - 3
STR
39%
24%
38%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
STR
2 - 2
DVS
67%
19%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
STR
17%
21%
62%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
HAU
2 - 1
STR
37%
25%
39%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |