Jablonec vs Varnsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jablonec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ZLI
0 - 0
JAB
23%
25%
52%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
RAN
2 - 2
JAB
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
JAB
1 - 1
PAR
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
VKP
5 - 0
JAB
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
JAB
2 - 2
RAN
56%
23%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Varnsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
FKM
2 - 2
SLO
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SLO
1 - 3
DUK
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
SLO
4 - 2
ZBR
23%
22%
55%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CHR
0 - 0
SLO
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SLO
5 - 1
TRI
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |