MOL Cup Semi-finals
Global 5-4
Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jablonec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
SLP
5 - 1
JAB
28%
25%
48%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
JAB
1 - 3
VKP
44%
25%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
SLI
4 - 3
JAB
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
ESK
2 - 1
JAB
12%
19%
70%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
DUK
5 - 1
JAB
27%
25%
48%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Slovan Liberec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
SLI
2 - 0
SPA
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
MBO
2 - 3
SLI
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
SLI
4 - 3
JAB
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SLI
2 - 0
ZBR
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
TEP
2 - 2
SLI
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |