Jablonec II vs Polepy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jablonec II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 3
JBN
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
JBN
2 - 0
PAR
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
HKI
1 - 1
JBN
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ADM
3 - 2
JBN
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
JBN
4 - 0
TRU
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Polepy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
TJP
4 - 0
ADM
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
TRU
0 - 0
TJP
44%
23%
34%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
TJP
0 - 1
UST
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
KOL
2 - 3
TJP
63%
21%
17%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
TJP
1 - 1
NAC
56%
21%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |