Jablonec II vs Sokol Živanice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
37.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
15º
11º
27
7º
16º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
78.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 53 |
4º
|
78.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
12º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 35 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 33 |
15º
|
61.5% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 31 |
16º
|
78% | |
|
|
17º
|
27 | 28 |
17º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 99% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jablonec II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FKC
1 - 1
JBN
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
JBN
1 - 3
BMS
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 3
JBN
47%
22%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
JBN
1 - 4
SOK
18%
24%
58%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FKP
3 - 1
JBN
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sokol Živanice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
FHR
0 - 2
SOK
11%
14%
76%
|
45 | 9 | 36 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SOK
0 - 2
SLI
46%
24%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SOK
1 - 1
KOL
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
ADM
3 - 3
SOK
30%
23%
47%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
VYS
1 - 2
SOK
19%
21%
60%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |