Jablonec II vs Velim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jablonec II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
TJP
3 - 0
JBN
36%
22%
42%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
JBN
4 - 1
UNI
62%
21%
16%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 1
JBN
45%
22%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
JBN
1 - 0
HKI
37%
27%
36%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
JBN
3 - 0
ADM
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +3 |
Matches
Velim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
FCV
2 - 1
ADM
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
TRU
0 - 3
FCV
18%
23%
59%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
KOL
3 - 0
FCV
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FCV
1 - 1
UST
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
FCV
2 - 1
NAC
64%
20%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |