Jablonec II vs Benešov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.1%
17.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
10º
16º
11º
26
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jablonec II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
HKI
1 - 0
JBN
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
JBN
1 - 2
FKP
34%
23%
43%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
JBN
1 - 1
KOL
38%
23%
39%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
JBN
1 - 1
SOK
43%
24%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 0
JBN
35%
24%
42%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Benešov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FUN
0 - 2
SOK
14%
20%
66%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SOK
3 - 1
FUN
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FUN
1 - 1
PAR
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
UST
3 - 0
FUN
80%
14%
6%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
FUN
0 - 1
FKM
13%
19%
68%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | -1 |