3ª Andaluza Cádiz Promotion knock-outs Final
Global 5-3
J. Sanluqueña vs San Fernando Atco. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
38.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+349%
+85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Sanluqueña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
SFA
2 - 1
JSA
46%
21%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
JSA
3 - 2
LRP
59%
18%
23%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
LRP
2 - 3
JSA
36%
20%
44%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
TML
0 - 6
JSA
33%
21%
47%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
NFC
1 - 7
JSA
7%
13%
81%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
San Fernando Atco.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
SFA
2 - 1
JSA
46%
21%
34%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
SFA
3 - 0
ESP
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
ESP
1 - 2
SFA
40%
21%
40%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SFA
2 - 0
CDT
78%
13%
9%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
SLU
2 - 7
SFA
12%
16%
72%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |