J. Malucelli vs Roma Apucarana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
4 - 1
JMA
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
JMA
3 - 1
ACP
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 0
JMA
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
JMA
1 - 0
LON
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
COT
2 - 0
JMA
85%
11%
4%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Roma Apucarana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ROM
3 - 2
RIO
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ROM
0 - 0
TCW
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
ATP
4 - 0
ROM
79%
15%
6%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 1
ROM
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
ROM
0 - 1
CIA
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |