J. Malucelli vs Roma Apucarana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
JMA
3 - 1
ENG
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
LON
2 - 2
JMA
51%
23%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
JMA
1 - 1
MAR
20%
24%
56%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
JMA
3 - 1
IGU
80%
13%
6%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
NPR
0 - 1
JMA
22%
23%
55%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Roma Apucarana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
ROM
1 - 0
LON
27%
23%
50%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
RIO
1 - 0
ROM
58%
21%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
ROM
1 - 2
IRA
33%
24%
44%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
IGU
2 - 0
ROM
21%
22%
58%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
ROM
1 - 1
POL
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | -1 |