J. Malucelli vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
46.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
ATP
2 - 0
JMA
76%
16%
7%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
JMA
3 - 2
NPR
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
JMA
1 - 0
RIO
66%
21%
14%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
PRU
1 - 1
JMA
35%
26%
40%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
JMA
2 - 1
CIA
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CIA
1 - 1
PAR
23%
24%
53%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 1
ACP
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
ENG
0 - 4
PAR
19%
22%
59%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 2
RIO
79%
15%
7%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 1
FOR
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |