J. Malucelli vs Maringá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
CIA
1 - 3
JMA
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
JMA
3 - 3
ARA
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
JMA
0 - 0
LAJ
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
LON
2 - 3
JMA
59%
24%
17%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
JMA
3 - 1
MET
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 1
GRE
74%
16%
9%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
COT
13%
20%
67%
|
51 | 81 | 30 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 1
PRU
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
PRU
0 - 2
GRE
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 1
JTF
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |