J. Malucelli vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
68.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
JMA
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
JMA
2 - 2
OPE
44%
25%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
TCW
1 - 0
JMA
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
JMA
0 - 0
CIA
30%
25%
46%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ATP
4 - 0
JMA
80%
15%
6%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
COT
1 - 0
TCW
88%
9%
3%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
COT
5 - 0
ROM
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
ATP
0 - 0
COT
37%
28%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
COT
4 - 1
OPE
89%
9%
3%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
CIA
1 - 1
COT
13%
22%
65%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | -1 |