J. Malucelli vs Cianorte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
45.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ATP
4 - 0
JMA
80%
15%
6%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
JMA
1 - 2
ROM
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
4 - 1
JMA
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
JMA
3 - 1
ACP
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 0
JMA
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
CIA
1 - 1
COT
13%
22%
65%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
0 - 3
CIA
30%
24%
46%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 3
CIA
34%
25%
41%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CIA
2 - 2
ATP
17%
23%
60%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
CIA
7 - 1
RIO
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |