J. Malucelli vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
17.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
JMA
2 - 2
MAR
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
TCW
2 - 2
JMA
45%
24%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
JMA
3 - 2
COT
24%
24%
52%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
MAR
4 - 4
JMA
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
COT
2 - 0
JMA
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
SCI
2 - 1
CAX
78%
17%
5%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
CAX
0 - 1
SCI
9%
19%
72%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
CAX
1 - 0
ECS
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
ECS
1 - 1
CAX
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAX
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |