J. Malucelli vs AC Paranavaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
TCW
1 - 1
JMA
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
JMA
0 - 2
LON
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ATP
3 - 1
JMA
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
JMA
2 - 2
PAR
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
JMA
3 - 2
OPE
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 1
ACP
72%
17%
10%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ACP
0 - 3
RIO
56%
23%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LON
3 - 1
ACP
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
NPR
3 - 4
ACP
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ACP
1 - 1
CIA
49%
24%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |