J. Malucelli vs AC Paranavaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 0
JMA
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
JMA
1 - 0
LON
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
COT
2 - 0
JMA
85%
11%
4%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
JMA
4 - 1
RIO
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
JMA
1 - 2
OPE
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
1 - 3
COT
11%
20%
68%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 0
ACP
51%
24%
26%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
LON
4 - 0
ACP
51%
23%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 2
OPE
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
IRA
1 - 1
ACP
48%
24%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |