Iztapa vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iztapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SOL
1 - 0
IZT
13%
23%
64%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
IZT
0 - 1
CHI
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
IZT
4 - 2
TOR
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MUN
2 - 2
IZT
50%
25%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
IZT
0 - 1
SLC
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
NUE
0 - 2
MUN
22%
27%
52%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
SLC
2 - 1
NUE
65%
23%
13%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
NUE
1 - 0
GUA
29%
28%
43%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
NUE
2 - 1
COB
24%
27%
49%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
ANT
4 - 0
NUE
68%
20%
13%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |