Iztapa vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iztapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SLC
1 - 1
IZT
41%
28%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
IZT
1 - 0
CHI
60%
22%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 0
IZT
30%
27%
42%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
IZT
4 - 0
DEP
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 1
IZT
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
NUE
2 - 0
SOL
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
NUE
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
NUE
3 - 2
ROS
61%
21%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NUE
0 - 1
DEP
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 1
NUE
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |