Iztapa vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iztapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
REU
1 - 0
IZT
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
IZT
2 - 1
SPD
60%
22%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
IZT
3 - 0
ROS
53%
23%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SLC
1 - 0
IZT
44%
25%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
IZT
1 - 0
DEP
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
NUE
1 - 0
ROS
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SLC
0 - 0
NUE
43%
25%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
NUE
1 - 0
DEP
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
ESC
0 - 0
NUE
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
NUE
2 - 1
BAR
53%
23%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |