Iztapa vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iztapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SLC
0 - 0
IZT
44%
25%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
IZT
3 - 1
REU
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 0
IZT
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
IZT
2 - 0
SPD
57%
23%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SIQ
3 - 0
IZT
64%
21%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
NUE
0 - 1
SIQ
38%
25%
38%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NUE
3 - 1
SLC
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
ROS
4 - 1
NUE
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
NUE
2 - 2
REU
53%
22%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 0
NUE
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |