Iztapa vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iztapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 0
IZT
22%
26%
53%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
IZT
3 - 0
SPD
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
DEP
3 - 0
IZT
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
IZT
0 - 1
HUE
72%
17%
10%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
AYU
0 - 0
IZT
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
NUE
3 - 0
PUE
50%
23%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
NUE
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
NUE
3 - 1
COM
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
NUE
2 - 2
AYU
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
AUR
4 - 1
NUE
37%
26%
36%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -3 |