Iztapa vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iztapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
RET
2 - 1
IZT
73%
18%
10%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
LAG
0 - 1
IZT
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
IZT
1 - 3
AUR
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ANT
0 - 0
IZT
49%
26%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
IZT
1 - 0
PUE
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
NUE
2 - 2
LAG
37%
27%
36%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
AUR
0 - 1
NUE
55%
25%
20%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
NUE
1 - 3
ANT
37%
27%
36%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
PUE
3 - 1
NUE
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
NUE
1 - 2
COA
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |