Iztapa vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iztapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 0
IZT
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
IZT
1 - 1
SPD
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
COA
4 - 0
IZT
57%
24%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
IZT
1 - 1
ESC
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LAG
1 - 1
IZT
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NUE
3 - 0
LAG
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 0
NUE
42%
26%
33%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
NUE
1 - 0
XIN
31%
25%
44%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
NUE
1 - 3
MIX
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ESC
4 - 1
NUE
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |