Iztapa vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iztapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
SPD
3 - 1
IZT
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
IZT
1 - 1
NUE
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
ESC
0 - 1
IZT
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MIX
2 - 1
IZT
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
IZT
2 - 1
COA
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
NUE
2 - 0
XIN
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 1
NUE
60%
23%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -3 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
NUE
2 - 1
CAR
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
IZT
1 - 1
NUE
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
NUE
2 - 0
MIX
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |