Iztapa vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iztapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 0
IZT
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
IZT
1 - 0
PUE
56%
22%
21%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
LAG
2 - 1
IZT
42%
25%
32%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
IZT
4 - 1
COA
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
SPD
1 - 0
IZT
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
NUE
1 - 0
LAG
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
COA
2 - 1
NUE
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
SPD
4 - 0
NUE
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
NUE
2 - 0
ESC
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 0
NUE
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -2 |