Iztapa vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iztapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
ESC
0 - 1
IZT
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MIX
2 - 1
IZT
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
IZT
2 - 1
COA
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 1
IZT
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
IZT
1 - 0
LAG
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
NUE
2 - 0
MIX
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
NUE
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NUE
1 - 0
AUR
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PUE
3 - 1
NUE
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
NUE
1 - 0
ESC
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |