Iztapa vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iztapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
IZT
3 - 0
SPD
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
COA
5 - 0
IZT
56%
22%
21%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
IZT
4 - 3
AUR
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ESC
2 - 1
IZT
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MIX
2 - 1
IZT
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
NUE
1 - 2
COA
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 0
NUE
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
NUE
1 - 1
ESC
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
MIX
1 - 1
NUE
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
NUE
2 - 0
ANT
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +4 |