Izarra vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Izarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
COR
2 - 3
IZA
12%
20%
67%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
IZA
2 - 1
VAL
69%
20%
12%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
HOS
3 - 2
IZA
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
IZA
2 - 0
CDC
80%
15%
6%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SUB
2 - 2
IZA
18%
22%
61%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
UDM
3 - 0
SUB
70%
19%
12%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
HUA
0 - 0
UDM
31%
27%
42%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
UDM
2 - 0
PAM
79%
15%
6%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
UDM
3 - 1
CHA
47%
25%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
OBE
1 - 0
UDM
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |