Izarra vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
36.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Izarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
RAC
3 - 0
IZA
74%
19%
8%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
IZA
0 - 0
COX
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
RCF
1 - 1
IZA
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
IZA
1 - 0
COM
32%
27%
41%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LEA
2 - 1
IZA
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
AST
2 - 0
PEÑ
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
UDL
1 - 1
AST
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
AST
1 - 2
ACF
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 1
AST
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
RAC
2 - 1
AST
76%
18%
6%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |