Ivry vs Troyes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
48.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
13º
11º
42
3º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 45 |
3º
|
95.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
95.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 39 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 36 |
7º
|
81.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
66.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
64% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 18 |
13º
|
55.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
NEU
3 - 2
IVR
35%
23%
42%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
IVR
1 - 0
MON
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
RAC
3 - 3
IVR
83%
13%
4%
|
36 | 66 | 30 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
IVR
0 - 0
ASP
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
YZE
2 - 0
IVR
38%
25%
36%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 2
STG
43%
26%
32%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CSL
2 - 2
TRO
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 0
SML
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
DIJ
1 - 3
TRO
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 2
AUX
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |