Ivry vs Bastia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
42.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
11º
6º
27
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
STG
1 - 0
IVR
76%
17%
8%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
VTR
2 - 2
IVR
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 1
IVR
55%
22%
24%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
IVR
1 - 1
NEU
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ORL
1 - 1
IVR
40%
24%
36%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 0
SAR
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 1
BAS
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VTR
1 - 4
BAS
43%
22%
35%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 1
BAL
33%
22%
45%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 0
BAS
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |