Ivinhema vs URSO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivinhema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
AGU
3 - 0
IVI
49%
25%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
IVI
1 - 3
NAV
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 0
IVI
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
IVI
0 - 1
CEN
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
IVI
3 - 1
MIS
56%
23%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
URSO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 2
URS
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
URS
0 - 0
AGU
23%
23%
54%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
URS
1 - 2
NAV
20%
23%
58%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
IVI
2 - 0
URS
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
URS
2 - 2
AGU
18%
22%
61%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |