Ivinhema vs Naviraiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivinhema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
7DE
1 - 2
IVI
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
IVI
1 - 1
COM
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
COM
0 - 0
IVI
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
IVI
2 - 1
NAV
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
AGU
1 - 1
IVI
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Naviraiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
NAV
1 - 1
COL
11%
18%
71%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
CEN
1 - 1
NAV
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
NAV
0 - 0
CEN
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
NAV
32%
24%
43%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
NAV
1 - 0
MAR
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |