Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 2-4
Ivinhema vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
63.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivinhema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
IVI
4 - 1
GUA
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 11 | 43 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
PAN
0 - 0
IVI
25%
25%
51%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
COR
1 - 0
IVI
59%
22%
20%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2009 |
IVI
1 - 2
NAV
56%
23%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
NAV
0 - 0
IVI
46%
25%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 1
NAU
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 2
POR
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
CEN
1 - 0
NAU
9%
17%
74%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 0
ACA
85%
11%
5%
|
74 | 37 | 37 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
CAB
0 - 1
NAU
8%
15%
77%
|
74 | 39 | 35 | 0 |