Itzehoe vs Kropp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itzehoe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
COK
3 - 0
ITZ
57%
22%
21%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ITZ
0 - 1
ECK
64%
20%
16%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
KIL
2 - 1
ITZ
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ITZ
0 - 2
LUB
39%
23%
38%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
ITZ
1 - 2
HEI
28%
25%
47%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Kropp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
KRO
3 - 2
HUL
24%
24%
52%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
ALT
2 - 1
KRO
40%
24%
36%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
KRO
0 - 0
HUS
61%
21%
18%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
KRO
0 - 1
COK
55%
23%
22%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ECK
2 - 2
KRO
28%
24%
48%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |