Itumbiara vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itumbiara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ITU
1 - 1
GOI
59%
24%
18%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
ANA
0 - 0
ITU
36%
26%
37%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 0
ITU
67%
21%
13%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
ITU
1 - 1
VIL
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
APA
0 - 0
ITU
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 1
APA
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
APA
0 - 2
GOI
13%
21%
66%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
APA
2 - 0
CRA
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ANA
1 - 1
APA
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
APA
0 - 0
ITU
48%
26%
27%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |