Ituano vs Vila Nova analysis

Ituano Vila Nova
70 ELO 69
14.5% Tilt -15.4%
1044º General ELO ranking 423º
49º Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
51.7%
Ituano
25.2%
Draw
23%
Vila Nova

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
Ituano
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23%
Win probability
Vila Nova
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ituano
-2%
-1%
Vila Nova

ELO progression

Ituano
Vila Nova
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ituano
Ituano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2022
ITU
Ituano
0 - 0
CSA
CSA
41%
28%
32%
69 76 7 0
09 Apr. 2022
CHA
Chapecoense
1 - 1
Ituano
ITU
38%
30%
33%
69 67 2 0
01 Apr. 2022
BOT
Botafogo SP
0 - 3
Ituano
ITU
36%
27%
37%
69 63 6 0
29 Mar. 2022
ITU
Ituano
2 - 2
Água Santa
AGU
68%
19%
14%
69 62 7 0
24 Mar. 2022
PAL
Palmeiras
2 - 0
Ituano
ITU
85%
11%
4%
69 90 21 0

Matches

Vila Nova
Vila Nova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2022
FLU
Fluminense
3 - 2
Vila Nova
VIL
75%
17%
8%
70 86 16 0
13 Apr. 2022
VIL
Vila Nova
0 - 0
Novorizontino
NOV
55%
26%
19%
70 61 9 0
09 Apr. 2022
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 1
Vila Nova
VIL
50%
27%
23%
70 73 3 0
23 Mar. 2022
VIL
Vila Nova
1 - 1
Atlético GO
ATL
26%
29%
45%
70 83 13 0
19 Mar. 2022
ATL
Atlético GO
3 - 2
Vila Nova
VIL
65%
22%
13%
71 82 11 -1