Ituano vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
ITU
0 - 0
CSA
41%
28%
32%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
ITU
38%
30%
33%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 3
ITU
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
ITU
2 - 2
AGU
68%
19%
14%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 0
ITU
85%
11%
4%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
FLU
3 - 2
VIL
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
NOV
55%
26%
19%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
VAS
1 - 1
VIL
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
ATL
26%
29%
45%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ATL
3 - 2
VIL
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |