Ituano vs URT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
12%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
ITU
0 - 1
SAO
18%
24%
59%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
SAO
2 - 1
ITU
73%
19%
8%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
ITU
0 - 1
COR
18%
26%
56%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 3
ITU
40%
26%
35%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
ITU
2 - 1
GUA
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
URT
2 - 1
TUP
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 0
URT
47%
25%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 0
URT
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2019 |
URT
1 - 1
BOA
30%
28%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
URT
2 - 2
VIL
12%
20%
69%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | +1 |