Ituano vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
60.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
INT
2 - 0
ITU
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ITU
0 - 1
BRA
16%
23%
61%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
SLU
2 - 1
ITU
20%
26%
54%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PPE
1 - 1
ITU
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
ITU
1 - 1
MIR
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAL
43%
26%
30%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
INT
0 - 3
SAO
11%
23%
66%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAO
19%
25%
56%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 2
BRA
50%
24%
26%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAN
63%
22%
16%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |